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News | Tag: risk modelling

What Southern Africa's strengthening cyclones mean for local re/insurance

June 10 2025 By Reinsurance Solutions climate change, natural disasters, risk modelling, south indian ocean, africa weather, catastrophe modelling, climate risk

The nature of cyclones in the South Indian Ocean is changing. Storms are becoming more intense and are moving further south within the region, potentially impacting areas outside of the historical Indian Ocean cyclone belt. The result is that countries in future cyclones' southerly paths may not be adequately prepared for these natural disasters and insurers, not correctly positioned to cover the losses. There are seven tropical cyclones basins a...

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Probabilistic modelling is only as good as the experts interpreting it

July 19 2022 By Thato Raboroko risk management, dfa modelling, analytics, thato raboroko, risk modelling

Sophisticated models and high-tech optimisation tools have become the order of the day for accurate risk modelling. But as precise as these carefully calculated predictions are, they mean little without the human element; that is, the expertise and knowledge that comes from years of experience, which is needed to match the right predictions to the right solutions. Predictive modelling is considered the industry standard, and no self-respecting (r...

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