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News | Tag: modelling

What Southern Africa's strengthening cyclones mean for local re/insurance

June 10 2025 By Reinsurance Solutions climate change, natural disasters, risk modelling, south indian ocean, africa weather, catastrophe modelling, climate risk

The nature of cyclones in the South Indian Ocean is changing. Storms are becoming more intense and are moving further south within the region, potentially impacting areas outside of the historical Indian Ocean cyclone belt. The result is that countries in future cyclones' southerly paths may not be adequately prepared for these natural disasters and insurers, not correctly positioned to cover the losses. There are seven tropical cyclones basins a...

Southern Africa needs flood modelling now more than ever before

May 22 2023 By Thato Raboroko flood modelling, catastrophe modelling, reinsurance, risk management, risk mitigation

In the years between 2017 and 2023, Southern Africa experienced three of its deadliest tropical storms: Cyclone Idai (2019, 1 300 deaths); Cyclone Freddy (2023, 500+ deaths) and tropical storm Dineo (2017, 250 deaths). It also experienced Cyclone Kenneth (2019), Africa's strongest cyclone ever recorded. Madagascar, Mauritius, Mozambique, Zimbabwe and Malawi are in the direct path of these devastating Indian Ocean storms, which are on track to in...

Probabilistic modelling is only as good as the experts interpreting it

July 19 2022 By Thato Raboroko risk management, dfa modelling, analytics, thato raboroko, risk modelling

Sophisticated models and high-tech optimisation tools have become the order of the day for accurate risk modelling. But as precise as these carefully calculated predictions are, they mean little without the human element; that is, the expertise and knowledge that comes from years of experience, which is needed to match the right predictions to the right solutions. Predictive modelling is considered the industry standard, and no self-respecting (r...

Flood risk modelling could have prepared us for the KZN floods

June 01 2022 By Thato Raboroko flood modelling, kzn floods 2022, thato roboroko, insurance analytics

South Africa is still reeling from the significant loss of life, and housing and infrastructural devastation, of the floods that rocked KwaZulu-Natal in April. The harsh reality is, this will happen again. Floods, wildfires, tropical cyclones and other climate change-related events have been increasing and will continue to increase in the future. Which begs the question - can risk modelling play a greater role in preparing communities for what's ...

RSIS partners with natural catastrophe specialists for best-in-class African risk modelling

October 27 2021 By Cameron Cupido cameron cupido, risk management, modelling, natural disasters

Reinsurance Solutions Intermediary Services (RSIS) has partnered with industry-leading specialists in natural catastrophe risk modelling to offer its insurance clients across the continent peace-of-mind reinsurance protection and risk management. The natural catastrophe perils covered by RSIS and its new partners include earthquake, flood, hail and cyclone, all modelled within the African context. These partners include Cat Risk Solutions, which ...